Weather: IMD upgrades outlook to severe cyclone in Bay

India Meteorological Office (IMD) has upgraded the outlook in the Bay of Bengal to a intense cyclone soon after an existing well-marked lower-stress space over South-East Bay of Bengal intensified early this (Saturday) early morning into a despair. It was positioned about 1,one hundred km South of Paradip (Odisha) 1250 km South of Digha (West Bengal) and 1,330 South-South-West of Khepupara (Bangladesh).

The procedure could speedily intensify, that is, two times over all through the study course of the working day, into a cyclone by the night and more intensify into a intense cyclone tomorrow (Sunday). It may possibly go North-North-West until Sunday and then re-curve to the North-North-East towards the North Bay from Monday to Wednesday. This slow movement and prolonged remain over the extremely warm waters could assist the potential intense cyclone to intensify even more, in accordance to some worldwide forecast types, which see a cyclone of

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Low-pressure area in Bay weakens, models await next

As expected, a persisting lower-stress region more than the South Andaman Sea and the adjoining South-East Bay of Bengal has weakened and is likely fading out. Only a remnant cyclonic circulation lingered on Wednesday, more or fewer bringing to closure a prolonged wait around for a beforehand expected pre-monsoon storm below.

On Wednesday morning, the India Meteorological Section (IMD) spotted scattered to broken lower and medium clouds with embedded average to extreme convection more than the South-East Bay. Interestingly, scattered lower and medium clouds with embedded average to extreme convection hovered also more than the South-East Arabian Sea (all over the Kerala coastline) to the other aspect of the peninsula.

No product consensus

World-wide and domestic climate models are employing unique strategies to arrive at a consensus with regard to the evolving climate more than the Bay. The European Centre for Medium-Array Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) persists with its prediction of

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