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Low-pressure area in Bay weakens, models await next

As expected, a persisting lower-stress region more than the South Andaman Sea and the adjoining South-East Bay of Bengal has weakened and is likely fading out. Only a remnant cyclonic circulation lingered on Wednesday, more or fewer bringing to closure a prolonged wait around for a beforehand expected pre-monsoon storm below.

On Wednesday morning, the India Meteorological Section (IMD) spotted scattered to broken lower and medium clouds with embedded average to extreme convection more than the South-East Bay. Interestingly, scattered lower and medium clouds with embedded average to extreme convection hovered also more than the South-East Arabian Sea (all over the Kerala coastline) to the other aspect of the peninsula.

No product consensus

World-wide and domestic climate models are employing unique strategies to arrive at a consensus with regard to the evolving climate more than the Bay. The European Centre for Medium-Array Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) persists with its prediction of

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Low-pressure area forming over Andamans

A prevailing cyclonic circulation about the Malacca Strait (amongst Malaysia and Indonesia) has locked by itself into place about North Sumatra (Indonesia), and will now shift West-North-West into the South Andaman Sea to set up the expected minimal-force area there in the up coming two days.

The India Meteorological Office (IMD) stated on Wednesday that the minimal-force area would focus into a despair during the up coming two days. It could intensify even further (most likely to a deep despair) and shift North-North-West (facing India’s coast) during May 1-3 and subsequently North-North-East (absent from India’s coast) in direction of the Myanmar-Bangladesh coasts.

MJO wave in

Arrival of a sturdy pulse of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) wave into the East Indian Ocean and adjoining South Bay of Bengal has prepared the ground for this growth. The MJO wave moves periodically in the larger ranges of the environment with its paraphernalia of

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